TOR vs TAR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 27, 2007 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń

Results

TOR 58 : 35 TAR
TOR
TAR

Heat by heat

Heat 162.66 s5:1
Heat 260.41 s5:1
Heat 361.37 s5:1
Heat 460.84 s4:2
Heat 561.53 s4:2
Heat 661.24 s5:1
Heat 761.54 s4:2
Heat 861.48 s5:1
Heat 962.13 s2:4
Heat 1061.72 s3:3
Heat 1161.20 s1:8
Heat 1261.08 s4:2
Heat 1361.49 s5:1
Heat 1460.66 s3:3
Heat 1560.72 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
24 → 20 °C
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind
10 km/h SE
gusts up to 32 km/h
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting
0.9 mm
Rain likely: a second model agrees
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.3 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
70 %
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4195+14−14
5–7135+8−8
8–10108+2−2
11–131011−1+1
14–156600
TORTARTORTAR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead TOR
510152025115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+896 %
3+1298 %
4+14100 %
5+16100 %
6+2099 %
7+22100 %
8+26100 %
9+24100 %
10+24100 %
11+17100 %
12+19100 %
13+23100 %
14+23100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Karol Ząbik68.716+7.3
Ryan Sullivan610.414+3.6
Adrian Miedziński68.612+3.4
Matej Zagar69.311+1.7
Janusz Kołodziej68.99+0.1
Alan Marcinkowski22.42-0.4
Ales Dryml43.83-0.8
Jacek Rempała44.43-1.4
Rune Holta612.611-1.6
Marcin Rempała32.60-2.6
Andrzej Głuchy22.70-2.7
Tomasz Gollob511.18-3.1
Kamil Zieliński44.31-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.6660.41 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 28.3:29.3 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −1.08 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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