TAR vs GRU

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 5, 2016 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów

Results

TAR 47 : 43 GRU

TAR

9Leon Madsen3 1 3 3 212+2
10Piotr Świderski0 2 2 1 05+1
11Kenneth Bjerre2 3 2 1 19
12Mikkel Michelsen0 2 1 03+2
13Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 3 315
14Patryk Rolnicki2 W 02
15Arkadiusz Madej0 1 01

GRU

1Antonio Lindbäck1 0 2 3 39+1
2Tomasz Gollob2 1 14+1
3Rafał Okoniewski3 2 1 2 08
4Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 0 13+1
5Artem Laguta2 3 3 D 2 111
6Marcin Nowak3 0 0 2 27+2
7Mike Trzensiok1 01

Heat by heat

Heat 169.48 s3:3

Heat 270.44 s2:4

Heat 369.83 s2:4

Heat 468.59 s4:2

Heat 569.89 s5:1

Heat 669.46 s3:3

Heat 769.81 s3:3

Artem Laguta · GRU3
Piotr Świderski · TAR2
Leon Madsen · TAR1*
Marcin Nowak · GRU0

Heat 869.52 s3:3

Heat 969.73 s5:1

Heat 1069.73 s3:3

Artem Laguta · GRU3
Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1*
Marcin Nowak · GRU0

Heat 1170.27 s4:2

Heat 1269.86 s1:5

Heat 1369.19 s3:3

Heat 1470.30 s1:5

Heat 1570.43 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 22 → 16 °C; Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away
Wind: 5 km/h NW; gusts up to 21 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.3 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 73 %; Measured · Tarnow, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	11	13	−2	+2
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	6	6	0	0
	TAR	GRU	TAR	GRU

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead TAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	-2	54 %
3	-4	34 %
4	-2	46 %
5	+2	69 %
6	+2	74 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+2	71 %
9	+6	89 %
10	+6	92 %
11	+8	95 %
12	+4	86 %
13	+4	91 %
14	0	56 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Janusz Kołodziej	5	11.3	15	+3.7
Marcin Nowak	5	4.1	7	+2.9
Leon Madsen	5	9.2	12	+2.8
Rafał Okoniewski	5	6.4	8	+1.6
Piotr Świderski	5	3.9	5	+1.1
Kenneth Bjerre	5	9.0	9	+0.0
Tomasz Gollob	3	4.3	4	-0.3
Mike Trzensiok	2	2.0	1	-1.0
Patryk Rolnicki	3	3.1	2	-1.1
Arkadiusz Madej	3	2.2	1	-1.2
Artem Laguta	6	12.3	11	-1.3
Mikkel Michelsen	4	5.0	3	-2.0
Antonio Lindbäck	5	11.2	9	-2.2
Krzysztof Buczkowski	4	6.0	3	-3.0

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 70.4468.59 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 30.0:34.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −4.27 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source