GRU vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 9, 2016 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Peter Ljung1 1 3 16+1
- 10Tomasz Gollob2 3 2 2 09+2
- 11Rafał Okoniewski3 3 2 3 112+1
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 3 3 212+2
- 13Artem Laguta1 3 3 3 010
- 14Marcin Nowak0 0 22+1
- 15Mateusz Rujner3 3 06
- 1Leon Madsen3 0 1 1 27+2
- 2Mikkel Michelsen0 1 2 1 15
- 3Kenneth Bjerre1 2 0 0 36
- 4Piotr Świderski0 1 01+1
- 5Janusz Kołodziej2 2 1 1 2 311
- 6Krystian Rempała1 0 01+1
- 7Patryk Rolnicki2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR0
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU3
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR2
- Krystian Rempała · TAR1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Piotr Świderski · TAR0
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Leon Madsen · TAR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Piotr Świderski · TAR1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1
- Krystian Rempała · TAR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Mateusz Rujner · GRU0
- Peter Ljung · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Patryk Rolnicki · TAR0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2*
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Krystian Rempała · TAR0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Peter Ljung · GRU1
- Piotr Świderski · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TAR1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h NE
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| GRU | TAR | GRU | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 7.1 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 5.8 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Mateusz Rujner | 3 | 2.9 | 6 | +3.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Patryk Rolnicki | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Piotr Świderski | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.3 | 6 | -2.3 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.4 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Krystian Rempała | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 13.9 | 11 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.