TAR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 19, 2015 · Tarnów Stadium, Tarnów
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik3 3 3 3 113
- 10Artur Mroczka2 1 0 25+1
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 1 3 3 212
- 12Leon Madsen2 3 2 2 312+3
- 13Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 1 211+2
- 14Arkadiusz Madej0 0 11
- 15Ernest Koza1 U M1
- 1Tomasz Gollob0 2 1 2 0 16
- 2Rafał Okoniewski1 01
- 3Artem Laguta0 2 3 2 3 313
- 4Daniel Jeleniewski1 1 1 03+2
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 1 0 16
- 6Marcin Nowak3 0 03
- 7Hubert Legowik2 1 0 D3+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Marcin Nowak · GRU3
- Hubert Legowik · GRU2*
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Hubert Legowik · GRU1
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Ernest Koza · TARM
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU1*
- Artur Mroczka · TAR0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Hubert Legowik · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Hubert Legowik · GRUD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 31 → 30 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 15 km/h SW
- gusts up to 34 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 41 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| TAR | GRU | TAR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 8.8 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Hubert Legowik | 4 | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Artur Mroczka | 4 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Marcin Nowak | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.2 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 6 | 9.8 | 6 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.