GRU vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 17, 2015 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Artem Laguta0 1 01
- 10Daniel JeleniewskiT 3 3 06
- 11Rafał Okoniewski0 2 2 2 06
- 12Krzysztof Buczkowski3 1 1 2 1 19+2
- 13Tomasz Gollob2 1 3 2 1 312+1
- 14Mike TrzensiokW 0 00
- 15Marcin Nowak1 2 0 03
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 0 2 3 210
- 2Artur Mroczka2 3 1 1 310+2
- 3Leon Madsen1 3 1 3 210+3
- 4Janusz Kołodziej2 2 2 06+1
- 5Martin Vaculik3 2 3 3 011
- 6Ernest Koza3 0 14
- 7Arkadiusz MadejT 1 01
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Artur Mroczka · TAR2*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Ernest Koza · TAR3
- Marcin Nowak · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR1
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2*
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1*
- Marcin Nowak · GRU0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1*
- Arkadiusz Madej · TAR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU2
- Artur Mroczka · TAR1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · GRU0
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR3
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU2
- Ernest Koza · TAR1
- Mike Trzensiok · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU2
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR0
- Artur Mroczka · TAR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Rafał Okoniewski · GRU0
- Tomasz Gollob · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · TAR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 55 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 15 | −7 | +7 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GRU | TAR | GRU | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -5 | 37 % |
| 3 | -5 | 34 % |
| 4 | -7 | 23 % |
| 5 | -7 | 22 % |
| 6 | -11 | 8 % |
| 7 | -9 | 13 % |
| 8 | -9 | 12 % |
| 9 | -9 | 12 % |
| 10 | -9 | 5 % |
| 11 | -11 | 1 % |
| 12 | -13 | 0 % |
| 13 | -13 | 0 % |
| 14 | -17 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 3 | 2.3 | 6 | +3.7 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 6.4 | 10 | +3.6 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 6 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Marcin Nowak | 4 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 11.0 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Arkadiusz Madej | 3 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Mike Trzensiok | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 3 | 6.3 | 1 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.