TOR vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 11, 2014 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Chris Holder1 2 1 2 06+3
- 10Viktor Kulakov2 3 05
- 11Adrian Miedziński0 1 3 2 28+1
- 12Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 1 3 19+1
- 13Tomasz Gollob1 0 1 3 38+1
- 14Oskar Fajfer3 2 1 06
- 15Paweł Przedpełski2 2 26+1
- 1Martin Vaculik3 3 3 3 2 014
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski0 0 00
- 3Artem Laguta1 1 3 05
- 4Greg Hancock3 3 2 1 1 313+2
- 5Janusz Kołodziej3 0 2 05
- 6Kacper Gomolski1 1 2 15
- 7Ernest Koza0 M U0
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · TAR0
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR1
- Ernest Koza · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Artem Laguta · TAR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR1
- Ernest Koza · TARM
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · TAR0
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR2
- Artem Laguta · TAR1
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR0
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · TAR0
- Artem Laguta · TAR3
- Greg Hancock · TAR2*
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Viktor Kulakov · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Ernest Koza · TARU
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR2
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR1
- Artem Laguta · TAR0
- Martin Vaculik · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR1
- Oskar Fajfer · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Greg Hancock · TAR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR0
- Tomasz Gollob · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Greg Hancock · TAR1*
- Chris Holder · TOR0
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 51 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | TAR | TOR | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Kulakov | 3 | 1.6 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Oskar Fajfer | 4 | 3.2 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Greg Hancock | 6 | 10.7 | 13 | +2.3 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 3 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Ernest Koza | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.