GOR vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Tuesday, October 9, 2012 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Tomasz Gollob1 D 2 03+1
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 1 0 15+1
- 11Matej Zagar2 1 3 3 312+1
- 12Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 1 3 212+1
- 13Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 3 2 314
- 14Adrian Cyfer1 0 01
- 15Łukasz KaczmarekW T 00
- 1Greg Hancock3 2 2 1 08+1
- 2Jakub Jamróg00
- 3Martin Vaculik1 2 0 1 26
- 4Leon MadsenD 1 3 2 17+1
- 5Janusz Kołodziej2 2 0 15+2
- 6Kacper Gomolski2 0 3 2 07+1
- 7Maciej Janowski3 D 1 2 39+1
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · TAR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR2*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR1
- Greg Hancock · TAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR2
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR1*
- Jakub Jamróg · TAR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Matej Zagar · GOR2*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Leon Madsen · TARD
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Maciej Janowski · TARD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Greg Hancock · TAR2
- Matej Zagar · GOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Leon Madsen · TAR1*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1
- Tomasz Gollob · GORD
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Greg Hancock · TAR2
- Maciej Janowski · TAR1*
- Łukasz Kaczmarek · GOR0
- Leon Madsen · TAR3
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1*
- Martin Vaculik · TAR0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Maciej Janowski · TAR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR0
- Maciej Janowski · TAR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · TAR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR2
- Greg Hancock · TAR1*
- Adrian Cyfer · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Leon Madsen · TAR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1*
- Tomasz Gollob · GOR0
- Matej Zagar · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · TAR2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GOR1
- Kacper Gomolski · TAR0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2*
- Leon Madsen · TAR1
- Greg Hancock · TAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11 → 9 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 50 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 66 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 11 | +1 | −1 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GOR | TAR | GOR | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +1 | 73 % |
| 5 | +3 | 83 % |
| 6 | +3 | 82 % |
| 7 | -1 | 60 % |
| 8 | -1 | 57 % |
| 9 | -1 | 56 % |
| 10 | +1 | 70 % |
| 11 | -1 | 48 % |
| 12 | -1 | 57 % |
| 13 | -1 | 56 % |
| 14 | +1 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.1 | 14 | +6.9 |
| Kacper Gomolski | 5 | 3.5 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.8 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Adrian Cyfer | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.5 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Łukasz Kaczmarek | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 4 | 7.0 | 3 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.