ZIE vs TAR

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 10, 2008 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 63 : 29 TAR

ZIE

9Rafał Dobrucki1 2 0 36+2
10Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 3 3 314
11Piotr Protasiewicz3 1 3 29+1
12Fredrik Lindgren2 3 2 2 211+4
13Grzegorz Walasek2 3 2 310+2
14Grzegorz Zengota3 3 2 3 213+1
15Janusz BaniakU 0 U0

TAR

1Janusz Kołodziej3 2 1 4 3 114+1
2Jacek Rempała0 0 00
3Sławomir Drabik1 1 1 1 D4+1
4Marcin Rempała0 0 1 12
5Peter LjungD W0
6Szymon Kiełbasa1 1 0 1 03
7Patrick Hougaard2 1 2 1 06

Heat by heat

Heat 159.94 s3:3

Heat 259.69 s3:3

Heat 360.90 s5:1

Heat 460.91 s5:1

Heat 560.62 s4:2

Heat 661.19 s5:1

Heat 760.31 s5:1

Heat 861.15 s3:3

Heat 959.84 s3:5

Heat 1060.85 s5:1

Heat 1160.13 s5:1

Heat 1260.96 s2:4

Heat 1361.38 s5:1

Heat 1461.12 s5:1

Heat 1561.13 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Showers → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 19 → 18 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 10 km/h W; gusts up to 28 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the meeting: 0.1 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.4 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 88 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	16	8	+8	−8
5–7	14	4	+10	−10
8–10	11	9	+2	−2
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	10	2	+8	−8
	ZIE	TAR	ZIE	TAR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+8	93 %
5	+10	96 %
6	+14	99 %
7	+18	100 %
8	+18	100 %
9	+16	100 %
10	+20	100 %
11	+24	100 %
12	+22	100 %
13	+26	100 %
14	+30	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	7.1	13	+5.9
Grzegorz Zengota	5	7.2	13	+5.8
Fredrik Lindgren	5	9.0	11	+2.0
Piotr Protasiewicz	4	7.5	9	+1.5
Grzegorz Walasek	4	8.7	10	+1.3
Janusz Kołodziej	6	12.0	13	+1.0
Patrick Hougaard	5	5.6	6	+0.4
Sławomir Drabik	5	5.3	4	-1.3
Rafał Dobrucki	4	7.8	6	-1.8
Szymon Kiełbasa	5	4.9	3	-1.9
Marcin Rempała	4	4.3	2	-2.3
Jacek Rempała	3	3.0	0	-3.0
Peter Ljung	2	3.1	0	-3.1
Janusz Baniak	3	4.5	0	-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.3859.69 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 33.7:21.0 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −1.73 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source