TOR vs TAR
PGE Ekstraliga · Thursday, August 30, 2007 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Wiesław Jaguś3 2 0 2 310+1
- 10Ales Dryml2 1 T 03+1
- 11Adrian Miedziński3 1 3 3 W10+1
- 12Matej Zagar1 2 1 3 18
- 13Ryan Sullivan1 2 3 3 211+2
- 14Alan Marcinkowski2 13+1
- 15Karol Ząbik3 2 3 2 111+1
- 1Rune Holta1 3 1 6 2 114
- 2Marcin Rempała0 0 0 D0
- 3Tomasz Gollob2 1 2 1 28+2
- 4Peter Ljung0 0 D0
- 5Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 2 1 314
- 6Kamil Zieliński1 0 01
- 7Andrzej Głuchy0 D U0
Heat by heat
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR2*
- Kamil Zieliński · TAR1
- Andrzej Głuchy · TAR0
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Ales Dryml · TOR2*
- Rune Holta · TAR1
- Marcin Rempała · TAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · TAR2
- Matej Zagar · TOR1
- Peter Ljung · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR1*
- Kamil Zieliński · TAR0
- Rune Holta · TAR3
- Matej Zagar · TOR2
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR1*
- Marcin Rempała · TAR0
- Karol Ząbik · TOR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2*
- Tomasz Gollob · TAR1
- Peter Ljung · TAR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2
- Ales Dryml · TOR1
- Andrzej Głuchy · TARD
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Karol Ząbik · TOR2*
- Rune Holta · TAR1
- Marcin Rempała · TAR0
- Rune Holta · TAR6
- Tomasz Gollob · TAR2*
- Karol Ząbik · TOR1
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Matej Zagar · TOR1
- Kamil Zieliński · TAR0
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR2
- Tomasz Gollob · TAR1*
- Ales Dryml · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Rune Holta · TAR2
- Alan Marcinkowski · TOR1
- Andrzej Głuchy · TARU
- Matej Zagar · TOR3
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR1
- Peter Ljung · TARD
- Wiesław Jaguś · TOR3
- Tomasz Gollob · TAR2
- Matej Zagar · TOR1
- Marcin Rempała · TARD
- Janusz Kołodziej · TAR3
- Ryan Sullivan · TOR2
- Rune Holta · TAR1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 11 km/h W
- gusts up to 23 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 11 | −1 | +1 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| TOR | TAR | TOR | TAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +11 | 99 % |
| 10 | +13 | 99 % |
| 11 | +13 | 100 % |
| 12 | +15 | 100 % |
| 13 | +19 | 100 % |
| 14 | +21 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 9.9 | 14 | +4.1 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.7 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Karol Ząbik | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Alan Marcinkowski | 2 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Ales Dryml | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Wiesław Jaguś | 5 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Rune Holta | 6 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Kamil Zieliński | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Tomasz Gollob | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Marcin Rempała | 4 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Andrzej Głuchy | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Peter Ljung | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.