KRA vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 15, 2018 · Stadion Sportowy KS WANDA, Kraków
Results
- 9Lasse Bjerre0 0 2 1 2 05
- 10Victor Palovaara1 1 3 0 27+1
- 11Sergei Logachev1 2 2 0 0 U5
- 12Wojciech Lisiecki00
- 13Marcin Jędrzejewski2 1 2 1 17
- 14Piotr Pióro1 0 1 13
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski2 1 03
- 1Hans Andersen2 3 1 3 312+1
- 2Oleksandr Loktayev3 1 3 3 212+1
- 3Maksims Bogdanovs3 3 2 210+1
- 4Joshua Grajczonek2 2 0 15+2
- 5Norbert Kościuch3 3 3 3 315
- 6Jakub Miśkowiak3 0 2 16+1
- 7Mateusz BłażykowskiU D T0
Heat by heat
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Hans Andersen · LOD2*
- Victor Palovaara · KRA1
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA2
- Piotr Pióro · KRA1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LODU
- Maksims Bogdanovs · LOD3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2*
- Sergei Logachev · KRA1
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA1
- Mateusz Błażykowski · LODD
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Sergei Logachev · KRA2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA0
- Maksims Bogdanovs · LOD3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2*
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA2
- Victor Palovaara · KRA1*
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA2
- Hans Andersen · LOD1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA0
- Victor Palovaara · KRA3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · LOD2
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA1
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Sergei Logachev · KRA2
- Piotr Pióro · KRA1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Maksims Bogdanovs · LOD2*
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA1
- Victor Palovaara · KRA0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2*
- Piotr Pióro · KRA1
- Sergei Logachev · KRA0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA2
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD1
- Sergei Logachev · KRA0
- Hans Andersen · LOD3
- Victor Palovaara · KRA2
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD1
- Sergei Logachev · KRAU
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA1
- Lasse Bjerre · KRA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 22 → 23 °C
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h NE
- gusts up to 18 km/h
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Measured · Krakow, 10 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| KRA | LOD | KRA | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -16 | 1 % |
| 9 | -14 | 3 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -18 | 1 % |
| 12 | -22 | 0 % |
| 13 | -24 | 0 % |
| 14 | -26 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Victor Palovaara | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Maksims Bogdanovs | 4 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Marcin Jędrzejewski | 5 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Piotr Pióro | 4 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Wojciech Lisiecki | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Lasse Bjerre | 6 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Sergei Logachev | 6 | 7.1 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Joshua Grajczonek | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Mateusz Błażykowski | 3 | 4.4 | 0 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.