LOD vs KRA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 19, 2018 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate3 3 1 3 313+1
- 10Joshua Grajczonek2 2 2 06+2
- 11Andrey Kudryashov0 3 2 W5+1
- 12Oleksandr Loktayev2 2 3 1 210+2
- 13Norbert Kościuch1 3 3 3 212+1
- 14Eryk Borczuch0 0 11
- 15Jakub Miśkowiak3 3 2 311+1
- 1Sergei Logachev1 1 1 3 17
- 2Wojciech Lisiecki0 0 0 11+1
- 3Ernest Koza1 2 0 2 05
- 4Marcin Jędrzejewski3 1 3 2 09+1
- 5Aaron Summers2 1 1 0 15
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski2 0 24+1
- 7Piotr Pióro1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2*
- Sergei Logachev · KRA1
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA2
- Piotr Pióro · KRA1*
- Eryk Borczuch · LOD0
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2
- Ernest Koza · KRA1
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Aaron Summers · KRA2
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Sergei Logachev · KRA1
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA1*
- Eryk Borczuch · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2*
- Aaron Summers · KRA1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD2*
- Sergei Logachev · KRA1
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA0
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA3
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · LOD1*
- Ernest Koza · KRA0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD3
- Andrey Kudryashov · LOD2*
- Aaron Summers · KRA1
- Piotr Pióro · KRA0
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD3
- Ernest Koza · KRA2
- Wojciech Lisiecki · KRA1*
- Joshua Grajczonek · LOD0
- Sergei Logachev · KRA3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · KRA2*
- Eryk Borczuch · LOD1
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD1
- Aaron Summers · KRA0
- Jakub Miśkowiak · LOD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · LOD2*
- Aaron Summers · KRA1
- Ernest Koza · KRA0
- Rohan Tungate · LOD3
- Norbert Kościuch · LOD2*
- Sergei Logachev · KRA1
- Marcin Jędrzejewski · KRA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 25 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| LOD | KRA | LOD | KRA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Miśkowiak | 4 | 6.0 | 11 | +5.0 |
| Marcin Jędrzejewski | 5 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 5 | 11.3 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Joshua Grajczonek | 4 | 6.0 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Sergei Logachev | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Piotr Pióro | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Aaron Summers | 5 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Wojciech Lisiecki | 4 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Eryk Borczuch | 3 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Andrey Kudryashov | 4 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Ernest Koza | 5 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.