GRU vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 3, 2024 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Max Fricke3 2 3 3 314+1
- 10Vadim Tarasenko3 3 2 3 213+2
- 11Jaimon Lidsey2 2 2 W 39+1
- 12Kacper Pludra0 1 0 U1+1
- 13Jason Doyle3 2 2 2 211+2
- 14Kacper ŁobodzińskiU T 11+1
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz2 1 25+1
- 1Bartosz Smektała1 01
- 2Janusz Kołodziej1 3 1 2 310+1
- 3Andzejs Lebedevs0 3 3 0 1 07
- 4Keynan Rew2 0 0 13
- 5Grzegorz Zengota2 1 3 D 0 17
- 6Damian Ratajczak3 1 1 1 W6
- 7Antoni Mencel1 01
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRUU
- Jason Doyle · GRU3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Keynan Rew · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jason Doyle · GRU2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Jason Doyle · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Keynan Rew · LES0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Kacper Pludra · GRUU
- Grzegorz Zengota · LESD
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRUW
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · GRU2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Jason Doyle · GRU2*
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 21 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 7 | +3 | −3 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| GRU | LES | GRU | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +9 | 97 % |
| 12 | +7 | 98 % |
| 13 | +11 | 100 % |
| 14 | +15 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 6.6 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.1 | 14 | +3.9 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| Antoni Mencel | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 9.4 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 5 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Kacper Pludra | 4 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.6 | 10 | -1.6 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 2 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 8.9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 6 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.