LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 28, 2024 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Benjamin Cook2 1 W 3 39
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 2 3 014+1
- 11Andzejs Lebedevs0 3 2 2 310
- 12Keynan Rew1 12
- 13Grzegorz Zengota0 3 1 1 27+1
- 14Damian Ratajczak3 1 04
- 15Antoni Mencel0 0 11+1
- 16Nazar Parnitskyi00
- 1Bartłomiej Kowalski1 2 2 16
- 2Francis Gusts3 1 1 3 19+2
- 3Artem Laguta3 W 3 2 210
- 4Mikkel Andersen0 2 2 04+1
- 5Maciej Janowski2 2 1 0 16+1
- 6Jakub Krawczyk2 2 3 07
- 7Marcel Kowolik1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Benjamin Cook · LES2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO2
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Francis Gusts · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Mikkel Andersen · WRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Mikkel Andersen · WRO2
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Francis Gusts · WRO1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Benjamin Cook · LES1
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Mikkel Andersen · WRO2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Francis Gusts · WRO1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Benjamin Cook · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Mikkel Andersen · WRO0
- Francis Gusts · WRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1*
- Marcel Kowolik · WRO0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Benjamin Cook · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Jakub Krawczyk · WRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Francis Gusts · WRO1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 24 km/h NW
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 8.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Gusts | 5 | 4.1 | 9 | +4.9 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 4 | 3.2 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 12.9 | 14 | +1.1 |
| Benjamin Cook | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Mikkel Andersen | 4 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 4 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Keynan Rew | 2 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 11.4 | 10 | -1.4 |
| Marcel Kowolik | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.