LES vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 21, 2024 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Benjamin Cook1 1 2 1 27+2
- 10Janusz Kołodziej1 2 0 3 06
- 11Andzejs Lebedevs2 0 13
- 12Keynan Rew3 2 3 2 111
- 13Grzegorz Zengota2 2 3 1 311+1
- 14Hubert Jabłoński0 3 03
- 15Antoni Mencel3 0 25
- 16Nazar Parnitskyi11+1
- 1Max Fricke3 1 1 3 D 08
- 2Jaimon Lidsey1 3 1 3 19
- 3Kacper Pludra0 1 01+1
- 4Vadim Tarasenko2 3 2 3 212
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 2 2 310
- 6Kacper Łobodziński1 0 01+1
- 7Kevin Małkiewicz2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2
- Benjamin Cook · LES1*
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Antoni Mencel · LES3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Keynan Rew · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Benjamin Cook · LES1*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Benjamin Cook · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Keynan Rew · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Benjamin Cook · LES1
- Max Fricke · GRUD
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU3
- Antoni Mencel · LES2
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Benjamin Cook · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · GRU1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h SE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | GRU | LES | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 4.9 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 3 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Benjamin Cook | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 1 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 3 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 13.1 | 8 | -5.1 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.5 | 6 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.