ZIE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 7, 2024 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel2 2 1 1 39+3
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 3 2 3 112+1
- 11Przemysław Pawlicki3 0 3 0 17
- 12Jan Kvech1 2 2 05+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 1 212
- 14Oskar Hurysz3 0 03
- 15Krzysztof Sadurski2 0 35+1
- 1Bartosz Smektała1 12+1
- 2Janusz Kołodziej2 2 3 2 211+1
- 3Benjamin Cook0 3 2 3 2 313
- 4Keynan Rew2 1 1 26+1
- 5Grzegorz Zengota0 1 1 02
- 6Antoni Mencel1 1 0 02+1
- 7Hubert Jabłoński0 1 01+1
- 8Nazar Parnitskyi0 00
Heat by heat
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Benjamin Cook · LES0
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE2*
- Antoni Mencel · LES1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Benjamin Cook · LES3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Benjamin Cook · LES2
- Keynan Rew · LES1*
- Oskar Hurysz · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1*
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Benjamin Cook · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Sadurski · ZIE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Benjamin Cook · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · ZIE3
- Keynan Rew · LES2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Benjamin Cook · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 17 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h E
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | LES | ZIE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Benjamin Cook | 6 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Antoni Mencel | 4 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.5 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Oskar Hurysz | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 2 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.3 | 7 | -2.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 7.5 | 2 | -5.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.