LES vs CZE
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 12, 2024 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Bartosz Smektała0 1 2 03+2
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 2 3 2 313
- 11Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 2 3 111
- 12Keynan Rew0 2 1 14+2
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 3 1 W 07
- 14Antoni Mencel2 0 W2+1
- 15Damian Ratajczak3 2 1 17+1
- 1Mikkel Michelsen3 1 1 3 2 W10
- 2Maksym Drabik1 0 01+1
- 3Kacper Woryna1 0 2 1 26+2
- 4Mads Hansen2 1 2 38+1
- 5Leon Madsen2 3 3 3 3 216
- 6Kajetan Kupiec1 1 0 02+1
- 7Kacper Halkiewicz0 00
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Antoni Mencel · LES2*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Maksym Drabik · CZE1*
- Keynan Rew · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Keynan Rew · LES2*
- Mads Hansen · CZE1
- Kacper Woryna · CZE0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE1
- Maksym Drabik · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES2
- Keynan Rew · LES1*
- Kajetan Kupiec · CZE0
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE3
- Mads Hansen · CZE2*
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES3
- Mikkel Michelsen · CZE2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Kacper Halkiewicz · CZE0
- Leon Madsen · CZE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Kacper Woryna · CZE1
- Mads Hansen · CZE3
- Kacper Woryna · CZE2*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Leon Madsen · CZE2
- Andzejs Lebedevs · LES1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h SW
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | CZE | LES | CZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Madsen | 6 | 12.2 | 16 | +3.8 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 4 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Mads Hansen | 4 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Kajetan Kupiec | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Kacper Halkiewicz | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 3 | 4.8 | 1 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.