LUB vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 7, 2023 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel3 1 0 15+1
- 10Dominik Kubera3 3 3 2 213+2
- 11Jack Holder2 2 3 2 211+3
- 12Fredrik Lindgren3 3 2 2 313+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 3 314+1
- 14Kacper Grzelak2 0 13+1
- 15Mateusz Cierniak3 2 16+1
- 1Bartosz Smektała0 1 2 03
- 2Janusz Kołodziej1 0 1 3 05+1
- 3Nazar Parnitskyi1 0 0 01
- 4Grzegorz Zengota1 1 2 3 1 19+1
- 5Jaimon Lidsey0 2 1 1 04
- 6Damian Ratajczak0 2 02
- 7Antoni Mencel1 0 D1
Heat by heat
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB2*
- Antoni Mencel · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Kacper Grzelak · LUB1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Jack Holder · LUB3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jack Holder · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Antoni Mencel · LESD
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Fredrik Lindgren · LUB3
- Jack Holder · LUB2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 6 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h E
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 14.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| LUB | LES | LUB | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +20 | 99 % |
| 7 | +22 | 100 % |
| 8 | +24 | 100 % |
| 9 | +24 | 100 % |
| 10 | +28 | 100 % |
| 11 | +28 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +36 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 9.1 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.2 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 4 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.2 | 5 | -5.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.