WRO vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 16, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki3 1 1 05+1
- 10Dan Bewley3 2 3 3 011
- 11Artem Laguta1 3 2 3 211+1
- 12Tai Woffinden3 2 3 1 312+1
- 13Maciej Janowski1 2 3 2 210+2
- 14Mateusz Panicz0 0 00
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski2 0 13
- 1Bartosz Smektała0 1 01
- 2Janusz Kołodziej2 3 2 3 2 315
- 3Jaimon Lidsey2 0 2 04
- 4Grzegorz Zengota2 1 1 2 0 17+2
- 5Chris Holder0 3 1 1 16
- 6Damian Ratajczak3 1 04+1
- 7Hubert Jabłoński1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Chris Holder · LES0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Chris Holder · LES3
- Dan Bewley · WRO2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Mateusz Panicz · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · LES1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 12 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| WRO | LES | WRO | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.0 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 7.6 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 12.4 | 15 | +2.6 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 6 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Mateusz Panicz | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.