WRO vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 20, 2023 · Stadion Olimpijski we Wrocławiu, Wrocław
Results
- 9Piotr Pawlicki1 1 1 03
- 10Dan Bewley3 3 3 1 313
- 11Artem Laguta3 3 3 2 112
- 12Tai Woffinden0 2 2 2 39+2
- 13Maciej Janowski2 2 1 3 210+1
- 14Kevin Małkiewicz3 0 03
- 15Bartłomiej Kowalski2 0 13+2
- 1Bartosz Smektała2 1 3 0 3 09
- 2Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 3 2 215
- 3Chris Holder0 11
- 4Jaimon Lidsey2 0 2 1 16+1
- 5Grzegorz Zengota1 2 1 0 W4
- 6Damian Ratajczak1 1 0 02+1
- 7Antoni Mencel0 00
Heat by heat
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Chris Holder · LES0
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · WRO0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Artem Laguta · WRO1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 30 → 25 °C
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Wind
- 3 km/h N
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Wroclaw Copernicus Airport, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| WRO | LES | WRO | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead WRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 12.2 | 15 | +2.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 3 | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Chris Holder | 2 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Antoni Mencel | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.0 | 3 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.