KRO vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Wednesday, August 9, 2023 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Vaclav Milik1 1 3 1 28+1
- 10Piotr ŚwierczT 0 W D 00
- 11Andzejs Lebedevs2 3 3 3 213+1
- 12Mateusz ŚwidnickiD0
- 13Jason Doyle2 3 2 3 313
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski1 2 2 1 06+3
- 15Denis Zieliński2 1 1 1 27+2
- 1Bartosz Smektała3 2 2 3 111
- 2Janusz Kołodziej1 01
- 3Chris Holder0 D0
- 4Jaimon Lidsey3 1 3 2 09+1
- 5Grzegorz Zengota3 36
- 6Damian Ratajczak0 0 2 2 37
- 7Antoni Mencel3 2 0 0 05+1
- 8Hubert Jabłoński1 1 1 14
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Chris Holder · LES0
- Antoni Mencel · LES3
- Denis Zieliński · KRO2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · KROD
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO2
- Denis Zieliński · KRO1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Chris Holder · LESD
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Denis Zieliński · KRO1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Antoni Mencel · LES2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jason Doyle · KRO2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Denis Zieliński · KRO1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · KRO0
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO3
- Denis Zieliński · KRO2*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1
- Piotr Świercz · KROD
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Jason Doyle · KRO3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · KRO2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRO | LES | KRO | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denis Zieliński | 5 | 4.0 | 7 | +3.0 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 5 | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 2 | 3.6 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Antoni Mencel | 5 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Piotr Świercz | 4 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Chris Holder | 2 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 2 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.