LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 21, 2023 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Bartosz Smektała3 1 2 1 29+1
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 2 314
- 11Chris Holder0 2 1 25
- 12Jaimon Lidsey1 1 0 3 16+2
- 13Grzegorz Zengota3 2 2 1 19+1
- 14Antoni Mencel1 1 02+1
- 15Damian Ratajczak2 0 13+1
- 1Tai Woffinden1 3 1 2 07+1
- 2Dan Bewley0 1 0 3 37
- 3Artem Laguta2 3 3 3 213
- 4Lukas Fienhage0 00
- 5Maciej Janowski2 2 2 0 06+1
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski3 2 1 3 09
- 7Kacper Andrzejewski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- Chris Holder · LES0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1
- Lukas Fienhage · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Chris Holder · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Lukas Fienhage · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO3
- Maciej Janowski · WRO2*
- Chris Holder · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Chris Holder · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Kacper Andrzejewski · WRO0
- Artem Laguta · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Artem Laguta · WRO2
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES1
- Tai Woffinden · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.2 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 5.4 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.8 | 14 | +3.2 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.5 | 13 | +2.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 5 | 7.3 | 9 | +1.7 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Lukas Fienhage | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Kacper Andrzejewski | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.