LES vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 7, 2023 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Bartosz Smektała3 2 0 27+1
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 1 313
- 11Chris Holder0 1 2 3 39+1
- 12Jaimon Lidsey3 2 1 1 18+1
- 13Grzegorz Zengota2 2 3 310+1
- 14Antoni Mencel2 2 1 05+2
- 15Damian Ratajczak3 0 03
- 1Max Fricke1 3 2 0 0 28+1
- 2Gleb Chugunov1 1 1 2 27+1
- 3Vadim Tarasenko2 3 2 3 2 113+1
- 4Frederik Jakobsen1 0 01
- 5Nicki PedersenD 1 D D1
- 6Kacper Pludra0 0 3 14+1
- 7Kacper Łobodziński1 01
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Chris Holder · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Antoni Mencel · LES2*
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2*
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Antoni Mencel · LES2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU1
- Kacper Pludra · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Chris Holder · LES1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES2
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Kacper Łobodziński · GRU0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Antoni Mencel · LES1
- Frederik Jakobsen · GRU0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU1*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Kacper Pludra · GRU3
- Chris Holder · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Chris Holder · LES3
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · GRU1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Grzegorz Zengota · LES3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Chris Holder · LES3
- Gleb Chugunov · GRU2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h E
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | GRU | LES | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 5.1 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 8.2 | 13 | +4.8 |
| Antoni Mencel | 4 | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Kacper Łobodziński | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Kacper Pludra | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 12.3 | 8 | -4.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 6.7 | 1 | -5.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.