TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 30, 2023 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Robert Lambert3 3 3 2 011
- 10Paweł Przedpełski3 2 1 1 18+1
- 11Patryk Dudek1 3 3 2 312
- 12Emil PoertnerW 11
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 3 315
- 14Krzysztof Lewandowski2 1 03
- 15Mateusz Affelt1 0 12+2
- 16Nicolai Heiselberg1 01
- 1Bartosz Smektała2 1 2 2 1 210+1
- 2Janusz Kołodziej2 2 0 3 2 110+1
- 3Nazar Parnitskyi0 0 00
- 4Jaimon Lidsey2 2 1 2 3 212
- 5Adrian Miedziński11
- 6Damian Ratajczak3 0 0 03
- 7Antoni Mencel0 00
- 8Hubert Jabłoński1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Adrian Miedziński · LES1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Nicolai Heiselberg · TOR1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Emil Poertner · TOR1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Nicolai Heiselberg · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Mateusz Affelt · TOR1*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Nazar Parnitskyi · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h SW
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 12.3 | 15 | +2.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 6 | 10.8 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Mateusz Affelt | 3 | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Nicolai Heiselberg | 2 | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Emil Poertner | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 2 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 6 | 10.3 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Antoni Mencel | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Nazar Parnitskyi | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 12.5 | 10 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.