LUB vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 6, 2022 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin

Results

LUB 58 : 32 LES
LUB
LES

Heat by heat

Heat 166.39 s4:2
Heat 267.13 s5:1
Heat 365.58 s5:1
Heat 467.27 s5:1
Heat 566.54 s5:1
Heat 666.22 s4:2
Heat 766.33 s5:1
Heat 866.53 s3:3
Heat 966.69 s1:5
Heat 1066.69 s2:4
Heat 1166.35 s5:1
Heat 1266.52 s3:3
Heat 1366.44 s4:2
Heat 1466.56 s3:3
Heat 1566.40 s4:2

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Thunderstorm → Cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
16 → 14 °C
Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Wind
2 km/h N
gusts up to 13 km/h
Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
5.9 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
80 %
Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4195+14−14
5–7144+10−10
8–10612−6+6
11–13126+6−6
14–1575+2−2
LUBLESLUBLES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead LUB
510152025115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+689 %
3+1098 %
4+14100 %
5+18100 %
6+2099 %
7+24100 %
8+24100 %
9+20100 %
10+18100 %
11+22100 %
12+22100 %
13+24100 %
14+24100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Jarosław Hampel68.414+5.6
Mikkel Michelsen612.117+4.9
Wiktor Lampart56.99+2.1
Maksym Drabik610.412+1.6
Mateusz Cierniak54.66+1.4
Antoni Mencel10.71+0.3
Janusz Kołodziej59.910+0.1
Fraser Bowes21.30-1.3
David Bellego56.45-1.4
Damian Ratajczak32.91-1.9
Hubert Jabłoński22.00-2.0
Jaimon Lidsey45.73-2.7
Piotr Pawlicki59.16-3.1
Jason Doyle59.86-3.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.2765.58 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 27.3:32.0 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +0.83 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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