LES vs OST
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, April 29, 2022 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jason Doyle3 1 2 1 29+3
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 39
- 11David Bellego2 0 2 37+1
- 12Jaimon Lidsey3 2 1 2 311+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki2 3 3 3 112+1
- 14Damian Ratajczak3 1 0 04
- 15Hubert Jabłoński2 0 13+1
- 16Keynan Rew11
- 1Oliver Berntzon1 1 1 03+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński0 2 0 2 04
- 3Filip Hjelmland0 1 01
- 4Grzegorz Walasek2 3 1 3 1 313+1
- 5Chris Holder1 2 2 3 2 212+1
- 6Jakub Poczta0 0 00
- 7Kacper Grzelak1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- David Bellego · LES2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Filip Hjelmland · OST0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES2*
- Kacper Grzelak · OST1
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Filip Hjelmland · OST1
- David Bellego · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jason Doyle · LES2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- David Bellego · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Jason Doyle · LES1*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- David Bellego · LES3
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST2
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES1
- Kacper Grzelak · OST0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Keynan Rew · LES1
- Filip Hjelmland · OST0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jason Doyle · LES2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Tomasz Gapiński · OST0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Chris Holder · OST2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 5 | +14 | −14 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LES | OST | LES | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +14 | 100 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 6.3 | 11 | +4.7 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 9.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 3 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.9 | 12 | +2.1 |
| Keynan Rew | 1 | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 4 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Filip Hjelmland | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.2 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.0 | 4 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.