LUB vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 28, 2022 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Jarosław Hampel2 3 3 2 2 214+1
- 11Maksym Drabik1 W 1 0 2 26+3
- 13Mikkel Michelsen0 3 2 3 3 112+1
- 14Mateusz Cierniak1 1 02+1
- 15Wiktor Lampart2 0 35
- 16Dominik Kubera3 1 1 3 1 312
- 1Jason Doyle0 2 0 35
- 2Piotr Pawlicki2 1 1 1 16+1
- 3David Bellego3 2 3 0 08+1
- 4Jaimon Lidsey2 3 1 1 07
- 5Janusz Kołodziej1 2 2 2 310+1
- 6Damian Ratajczak3 0 03
- 7Hubert Jabłoński0 0 00
Heat by heat
- David Bellego · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Maksym Drabik · LUB1*
- Jason Doyle · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- David Bellego · LES2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- David Bellego · LES3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Jason Doyle · LES0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Maksym Drabik · LUB1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Maksym Drabik · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Maksym Drabik · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- David Bellego · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Maksym Drabik · LUB2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1*
- David Bellego · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 21 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LUB | LES | LUB | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bellego | 5 | 4.1 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 5.2 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 6 | 11.5 | 12 | +0.5 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Dominik Kubera | 6 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 3 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Maksym Drabik | 6 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.