LES vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 19, 2022 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jason Doyle2 1 1 0 26+2
- 10Piotr Pawlicki2 2 2 3 0 110
- 11David Bellego1 0 23+2
- 12Jaimon Lidsey0 1 12
- 13Janusz Kołodziej2 1 2 1 2 311+1
- 14Hubert Jabłoński0 00
- 15Damian Ratajczak2 0 3 3 19+1
- 1Mikkel Michelsen3 2 0 2 310+2
- 2Maksym Drabik1 3 3 2 0 09
- 3Jarosław Hampel0 3 3 1 1 311
- 6Wiktor Lampart1 1 02
- 7Mateusz Cierniak3 0 1 04
- 8Dominik Kubera3 2 3 0 3 213+1
Heat by heat
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- David Bellego · LES1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Maksym Drabik · LUB1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Hubert Jabłoński · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- David Bellego · LES0
- Maksym Drabik · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Jason Doyle · LES1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Maksym Drabik · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Jason Doyle · LES1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Maksym Drabik · LUB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Jason Doyle · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- David Bellego · LES2*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Maksym Drabik · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Maksym Drabik · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 73 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | LUB | LES | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Ratajczak | 5 | 3.4 | 9 | +5.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 6 | 11.1 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Maksym Drabik | 6 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 6 | 11.0 | 11 | -0.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 6 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| David Bellego | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Hubert Jabłoński | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 12.7 | 11 | -1.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.