LES vs WRO
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 17, 2022 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Jason Doyle3 2 1 2 1 211+3
- 10Piotr Pawlicki3 1 2 1 29+2
- 11David Bellego0 D 11+1
- 12Jaimon Lidsey1 2 3 2 19+2
- 13Janusz Kołodziej2 2 2 0 39
- 14Antoni Mencel0 0 00
- 15Damian Ratajczak3 0 25
- 1Gleb Chugunov2 2 1 0 0 05
- 3Tai Woffinden1 3 3 3 2 315+2
- 5Maciej Janowski3 1 3 1 3 011
- 6Bartłomiej Kowalski2 1 03+1
- 7Michał Curzytek1 0 01+1
- 8Dan Bewley0 3 1 3 3 111
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Tai Woffinden · WRO1*
- David Bellego · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO2
- Michał Curzytek · WRO1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Dan Bewley · WRO0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO2
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO1*
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- David Bellego · LESD
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Antoni Mencel · LES0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Jason Doyle · LES1*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jason Doyle · LES2*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO1
- Bartłomiej Kowalski · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Jason Doyle · LES1*
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Dan Bewley · WRO3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- David Bellego · LES1*
- Michał Curzytek · WRO0
- Maciej Janowski · WRO3
- Tai Woffinden · WRO2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Dan Bewley · WRO1
- Gleb Chugunov · WRO0
- Tai Woffinden · WRO3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Maciej Janowski · WRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | WRO | LES | WRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tai Woffinden | 6 | 8.6 | 15 | +6.4 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 5.5 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Bartłomiej Kowalski | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Maciej Janowski | 6 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Michał Curzytek | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 11.8 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Antoni Mencel | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| David Bellego | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 6 | 9.2 | 5 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.