GOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 6, 2021 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak0 3 1 0 15+1
- 10Marcus Birkemose11
- 11Martin Vaculik3 3 2 3 314+1
- 12Anders Thomsen2 1 3 1 29+1
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 112
- 14Wiktor Jasinski2 0 02
- 15Kamil Nowacki1 0 01
- 16Rafał Karczmarz2 0 13+1
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow2 1 3 2 08+1
- 2Janusz Kołodziej1 3 2 2 311+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey1 0 1 02+2
- 4Jason Doyle2 2 2 3 211+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki0 1 1 2 04
- 6Damian Ratajczak3 3 06
- 7Kacper PludraW 0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR2
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Jason Doyle · LES2*
- Marcus Birkemose · GOR1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Kacper Pludra · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Kacper Pludra · LES1*
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 20 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 48 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GOR | LES | GOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 3.1 | 6 | +2.9 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Marcus Birkemose | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.4 | 4 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.