LUB vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, May 31, 2021 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Grigorij Laguta1 1 3 2 310+1
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski2 3 0 1 17
- 11Jarosław Hampel2 0 3 3 210
- 13Mikkel Michelsen3 3 1 3 010
- 14Wiktor Lampart3 1 04+1
- 15Mateusz Cierniak2 0 13+1
- 16Dominik Kubera2 2 1 05+1
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow0 2 1 14+1
- 2Janusz Kołodziej1 1 2 26+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 1 3 0 18
- 4Jason Doyle3 3 2 3 0 314+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki0 2 2 2 28
- 6Kacper Pludra1 0 01
- 7Damian Ratajczak0 00
- 8Krzysztof Sadurski00
Heat by heat
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Kacper Pludra · LES1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1*
- Kacper Pludra · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jason Doyle · LES2*
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Kacper Pludra · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Jason Doyle · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 11 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 2 km/h NE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LUB | LES | LUB | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 12.6 | 14 | +1.4 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 8.4 | 4 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.