LES vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, May 15, 2021 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 2 D 29+3
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 3 312
- 11Jaimon Lidsey0 3 2 3 311
- 12Jason Doyle3 1 1 3 210+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki0 2 3 05
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski1 1 02
- 15Kacper Pludra3 0 2 05+1
- 1Piotr Protasiewicz1 1 13+1
- 2Max Fricke2 3 0 1 1 18
- 3Matej Zagar2 2 2 1 18+1
- 4Jan Kvech2 0 13+1
- 5Patryk Dudek1 1 3 2 2 312+1
- 6Fabian Ragus0 0 00
- 7Nile Tufft2 0 02
- 8Damian Pawliczak00
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Matej Zagar · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Kacper Pludra · LES3
- Nile Tufft · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Jan Kvech · ZIE2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES1
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Matej Zagar · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Jan Kvech · ZIE0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Kacper Pludra · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Nile Tufft · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Matej Zagar · ZIE2
- Jan Kvech · ZIE1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Max Fricke · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Jason Doyle · LES1*
- Fabian Ragus · ZIE0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LESD
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Kacper Pludra · LES2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Nile Tufft · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Max Fricke · ZIE1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1
- Kacper Pludra · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | ZIE | LES | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 7.9 | 12 | +4.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Kacper Pludra | 4 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Jan Kvech | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Nile Tufft | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.4 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Fabian Ragus | 3 | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.