LES vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 24, 2021 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 3 214
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 2 2 2 110+3
- 11Jaimon Lidsey1 0 3 2 28
- 12Jason Doyle1 1 1 03
- 13Piotr Pawlicki3 2 3 D 08
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski1 1 02
- 15Kacper PludraU 1 12+1
- 1Robert Lambert0 3 1 1 38+1
- 2Adrian Miedziński0 W 00
- 3Paweł Przedpełski2 3 2 1 08
- 4Chris Holder2 2 1 2 18+2
- 5Jack Holder2 1 2 3 3 314
- 6Krzysztof Lewandowski2 0 0 02+1
- 7Karol Żupiński3 03
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Karol Żupiński · TOR3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES1
- Kacper Pludra · LESU
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Chris Holder · TOR2*
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Kacper Pludra · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Jack Holder · TOR1
- Karol Żupiński · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Chris Holder · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Jason Doyle · LES0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Kacper Pludra · LES1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LESD
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Jack Holder · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10 → 8 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 15 km/h NW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 52 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | TOR | LES | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.6 | 14 | +3.4 |
| Jack Holder | 6 | 11.0 | 14 | +3.0 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 5 | 5.3 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Karol Żupiński | 2 | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 4 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 8.3 | 3 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.