GOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 26, 2021 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak2 2 3 3 111+1
- 10Anders Thomsen2 1 1 0 37+1
- 11Martin Vaculik3 3 2 3 112
- 12Rafał Karczmarz1 2 0 03+2
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik2 3 3 3 314
- 14Kamil Nowacki1 0 01
- 15Wiktor JasinskiW 0 11
- 1Piotr Pawlicki1 2 W 1 26+1
- 2Janusz Kołodziej0 1 2 2 05+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey0 00
- 4Jason Doyle3 1 2 2 210
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 211
- 6Damian Ratajczak3 1 1 1 1 07+2
- 7Krzysztof Sadurski2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES2*
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2*
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · GOR2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h SE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GOR | LES | GOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 7.5 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 6 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 13.2 | 14 | +0.8 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.0 | 6 | -2.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.