LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 19, 2021 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow1 1 0 02
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 1 2 2 011+1
- 11Jaimon Lidsey0 0 22
- 12Jason Doyle2 2 1 3 3 112+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki0 2 2 04
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski2 1 03
- 15Damian Ratajczak1 1 2 37+3
- 1Szymon Woźniak2 0 2 04+2
- 2Anders Thomsen3 3 3 1 212+1
- 3Martin Vaculik3 3 1 1 19+1
- 4Rafał Karczmarz2 1 3 1 29
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik1 2 3 3 312
- 6Wiktor Jasinski3 0 03
- 7Kamil Nowacki0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR3
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Jason Doyle · LES1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2*
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h N
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafał Karczmarz | 5 | 3.8 | 9 | +5.2 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 7.1 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 4 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 6 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.8 | 12 | -0.8 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 6.7 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 8.2 | 2 | -6.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.