LES vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 22, 2021 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 1 3 0 310
- 10Janusz Kołodziej2 3 0 27
- 11Jaimon Lidsey2 0 3 2 18+2
- 12Jason Doyle3 2 2 3 313+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki1 3 2 06
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski1 0 01
- 15Damian RatajczakT 0 3 03
- 2Grigorij Laguta0 1 2 D3+1
- 3Jarosław Hampel0 3 3 1 29
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski3 1 1 1 17+2
- 5Mikkel Michelsen2 0 0 3 27
- 6Wiktor Lampart3 1 15
- 7Mateusz Cierniak2 2 15+1
- 8Dominik Kubera1 2 1 2 06+1
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES1
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2
- Dominik Kubera · LUB1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jason Doyle · LES2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Grigorij Laguta · LUBD
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LUB0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · LUB1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | LUB | LES | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.4 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 3 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 4.9 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 4 | 8.1 | 3 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.