ZIE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, August 2, 2021 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Matej Zagar3 1 0 0 37
- 10Max Fricke2 2 3 3 212
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 2 2 210+2
- 12Mateusz Tonder0 11+1
- 13Patryk Dudek2 3 3 1 09
- 14Nile TufftD D 11
- 15Jakub Osyczka1 0 12+1
- 16Damian Pawliczak1 12+1
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow1 1 2 3 18+1
- 2Janusz Kołodziej1 2 1 3 07+1
- 3Szymon Szlauderbach0 00
- 4Jason Doyle1 3 D 2 17+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 2 314
- 6Damian Ratajczak3 3 2 0 08
- 7Kacper Pludra2 W 02+1
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Kacper Pludra · LES2*
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE1
- Nile Tufft · ZIED
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Nile Tufft · ZIED
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Matej Zagar · ZIE1
- Kacper Pludra · LESW
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Damian Ratajczak · LES2
- Nile Tufft · ZIE1
- Jason Doyle · LESD
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Matej Zagar · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jason Doyle · LES2*
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE1
- Matej Zagar · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Jakub Osyczka · ZIE1*
- Kacper Pludra · LES0
- Max Fricke · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Matej Zagar · ZIE3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2*
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Max Fricke · ZIE2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h W
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| ZIE | LES | ZIE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 5 | 4.7 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 2 | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Jakub Osyczka | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Nile Tufft | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.9 | 8 | -2.9 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.3 | 7 | -3.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.5 | 7 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.