LES vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 23, 2021 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 0 311+1
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 1 211+2
- 11Jaimon Lidsey0 3 D 25
- 12Jason Doyle3 2 3 3 314+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki1 3 T 3 07
- 14Kacper Pludra1 2 03+1
- 15Damian Ratajczak3 0 1 15+1
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 1 1 16+3
- 2Norbert KrakowiakU 2 0 3 27
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 3 0 16+1
- 4Kenneth Bjerre1 0 2 25+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen2 1 2 2 D7
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak2 0 1 03
- 7Seweryn Orgacki0 00
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Damian Ratajczak · LES3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU2
- Kacper Pludra · LES1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GRU0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRUU
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Kacper Pludra · LES2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jason Doyle · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GRU0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Kacper Pludra · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LESD
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Norbert Krakowiak · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GRU1
- Nicki Pedersen · GRUD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h N
- gusts up to 13 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 51 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | GRU | LES | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 4 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.7 | 7 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.