TOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 25, 2021 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Paweł Przedpełski2 1 0 3 3 09
- 10Jack Holder2 2 2 1 29+1
- 11Chris Holder1 1 13+2
- 12Adrian Miedziński0 3 2 2 29+1
- 14Karol Żupiński0 0 00
- 15Krzysztof Lewandowski2 0 02
- 16Robert Lambert2 3 1 2 19+1
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 0 19
- 2Janusz Kołodziej3 1 1 2 07+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey0 2 3 05
- 4Jason Doyle3 0 2 1 39+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki1 3 3 3 313
- 6Damian Ratajczak1 1 02
- 7Kacper Pludra3 W 14+1
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Kacper Pludra · LES3
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Karol Żupiński · TOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Damian Ratajczak · LES1
- Karol Żupiński · TOR0
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2
- Chris Holder · TOR1
- Jason Doyle · LES0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Jason Doyle · LES2*
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Karol Żupiński · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Chris Holder · TOR1*
- Damian Ratajczak · LES0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2*
- Jason Doyle · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Kacper Pludra · LES1*
- Krzysztof Lewandowski · TOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Jack Holder · TOR1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Adrian Miedziński · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Jack Holder · TOR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Paweł Przedpełski · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Torun, 3 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| TOR | LES | TOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -10 | 7 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.7 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 4.8 | 9 | +4.2 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Krzysztof Lewandowski | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Chris Holder | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Paweł Przedpełski | 6 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Damian Ratajczak | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 10.6 | 7 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.