LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 4, 2021 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 2 2 2 112+2
- 10Janusz Kołodziej2 1 0 25+1
- 11Jaimon Lidsey0 1 01
- 12Jason Doyle3 3 3 1 2 214+1
- 13Piotr Pawlicki0 2 2 W 37
- 14Krzysztof Sadurski0 0 00
- 15Kacper Pludra2 0 13
- 1Szymon Woźniak3 1 1 0 16
- 2Martin Vaculik1 3 3 3 010+1
- 3Rafał Karczmarz1 0 1 13
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik3 2 3 3 314
- 5Anders Thomsen2 2 W 3 07
- 6Wiktor Jasinski1 1 13
- 7Kamil Nowacki3 0 25+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR3
- Kacper Pludra · LES2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Martin Vaculik · GOR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Kacper Pludra · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Krzysztof Sadurski · LES0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Jason Doyle · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Jason Doyle · LES1*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Martin Vaculik · GOR3
- Kamil Nowacki · GOR2*
- Kacper Pludra · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jason Doyle · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Martin Vaculik · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 8 → 4 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 10.1 | 14 | +3.9 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 1.4 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 4 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Kacper Pludra | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 5 | 6.5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 9.0 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Krzysztof Sadurski | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 3 | 4.8 | 1 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.