LES vs GOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, July 31, 2020 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 3 2 313+1
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 1 2 39+1
- 11Bartosz Smektała3 3 3 3 113
- 12Jaimon Lidsey1 0 1 02
- 13Piotr Pawlicki3 1 3 2 110+2
- 14Szymon Szlauderbach0 1 12
- 15Dominik Kubera3 0 1 26
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 1 1 05+1
- 2Niels Kristian Iversen0 3 0 2 38
- 3Szymon Woźniak0 2 0 02
- 4Bartosz Zmarzlik2 1 2 3 210+1
- 5Anders Thomsen2 2 2 1 07
- 6Rafał Karczmarz2 0 02
- 7Wiktor Jasinski1 0 01+1
Heat by heat
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR2
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Anders Thomsen · GOR2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Anders Thomsen · GOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 16 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h N
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LES | GOR | LES | GOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.6 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.