LES vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Tuesday, July 28, 2020 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow1 2 3 2 311+2
- 10Janusz Kołodziej1 3 2 3 09+2
- 11Bartosz Smektała0 3 2 2 18
- 12Jaimon Lidsey1 2 1 3 07+2
- 13Piotr Pawlicki0 2 3 16
- 14Szymon Szlauderbach0 00
- 15Dominik Kubera3 2 0 16+1
- 1Antonio Lindbäck3 1 0 04
- 2Martin Vaculik3 3 1 3 3 215
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 1 04+2
- 4Piotr Protasiewicz3 0 2 1 17+1
- 5Patryk Dudek2 1 0 2 27+2
- 6Norbert Krakowiak2 0 3 05
- 7Mateusz Tonder1 U1+1
Heat by heat
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE2
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIEU
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE0
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Antonio Lindbäck · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 15 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LES | ZIE | LES | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 3.7 | 7 | +3.3 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 12.0 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 7.5 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.