GRU vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 5, 2020 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen1 3 2 2 210
- 10Krzysztof Buczkowski3 1 0 15
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 0 0 3 28
- 12Przemysław Pawlicki3 1 2 1 18+2
- 13Artem Laguta1 3 2 2 08
- 14Denis Zieliński0 1 12
- 15Marcin Turowski1 0 01
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow0 2 3 3 311
- 2Janusz Kołodziej0 1 12+1
- 3Bartosz Smektała2 3 3 W 19
- 4Jaimon Lidsey0 2 D 02+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 2 3 3 313
- 6Dominik Kubera3 2 1 2 08
- 7Szymon Szlauderbach2 0 13+2
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES2*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU1
- Denis Zieliński · GRU0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Artem Laguta · GRU1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Denis Zieliński · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Artem Laguta · GRU3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Denis Zieliński · GRU1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LESD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1*
- Marcin Turowski · GRU0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Artem Laguta · GRU2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · GRU1
- Bartosz Smektała · LESW
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Kenneth Bjerre · GRU2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · GRU1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · GRU2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Artem Laguta · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| GRU | LES | GRU | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 5.4 | 8 | +2.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 7.7 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Denis Zieliński | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Marcin Turowski | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 3 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.