GOR vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, October 9, 2020 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Szymon Woźniak3 1 0 3 1 210+1
- 10Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 3 2 2 316+1
- 11Jack Holder0 2 2 3 310+2
- 12Krzysztof Kasprzak0 00
- 13Anders Thomsen1 1 3 3 19
- 14Wiktor Jasinski0 0 W0
- 15Rafał Karczmarz1 0 01
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow2 3 1 3 09
- 2Janusz Kołodziej3 2 3 2 212+1
- 3Bartosz Smektała1 1 2 04+1
- 4Jaimon Lidsey1 0 1 2 04+2
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 2 1 1 17+1
- 6Dominik Kubera2 2 04+1
- 7Szymon Szlauderbach3 0 14+1
Heat by heat
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1*
- Jack Holder · GOR0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR1
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Jack Holder · GOR2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR0
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR3
- Jack Holder · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GOR0
- Jack Holder · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1*
- Rafał Karczmarz · GOR0
- Anders Thomsen · GOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Jack Holder · GOR3
- Szymon Woźniak · GOR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · GOR3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Anders Thomsen · GOR1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 12 °C
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SE
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| GOR | LES | GOR | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -8 | 13 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -8 | 18 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -8 | 8 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 6.7 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 6 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 14.8 | 16 | +1.2 |
| Anders Thomsen | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 9.8 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Rafał Karczmarz | 3 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.