LES vs ZIE
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, September 28, 2020 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 211
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 2 0 2 18+2
- 11Bartosz Smektała2 3 2 2 312+2
- 12Jaimon Lidsey2 2 3 18+3
- 13Piotr Pawlicki3 3 3 312
- 14Szymon Szlauderbach0 1 0 12
- 15Dominik Kubera3 0 1 D4+1
- 1Rohan Tungate0 2 1 0 03+1
- 2Martin Vaculik1 1 2 3 29+2
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 2 1 27
- 4Piotr Protasiewicz2 0 1 3 39+1
- 5Patryk Dudek0 1 0 01
- 6Norbert Krakowiak1 0 12+1
- 7Mateusz Tonder2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1*
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1*
- Mateusz Tonder · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1
- Dominik Kubera · LESD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.7 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| LES | ZIE | LES | ZIE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +14 | 100 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 7.2 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.4 | 9 | -1.4 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 6.7 | 1 | -5.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.