ZIE vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 20, 2020 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 44 : 46 LES

ZIE

9Antonio Lindbäck1 2 03
10Martin Vaculik0 W 2 3 2 310
11Piotr Protasiewicz0 2 2 04+1
12Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 1 07+1
13Patryk Dudek2 3 2 1 1 211+3
14Mateusz Tonder3 1 1 16+1
15Norbert Krakowiak0 1 23

LES

1Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 3 3 111+1
2Janusz Kołodziej1 0 1 3 38
3Bartosz Smektała3 0 0 03
4Jaimon Lidsey3 1 3 2 09+1
5Piotr Pawlicki0 3 3 2 08
6Dominik Kubera1 2 03+2
7Szymon Szlauderbach2 1 14

Heat by heat

Heat 161.54 s1:5

Heat 261.67 s3:3

Heat 361.31 s5:1

Heat 460.07 s1:5

Heat 561.60 s5:1

Heat 660.77 s4:2

Heat 760.38 s2:4

Heat 860.85 s3:3

Heat 960.43 s2:4

Heat 1060.59 s3:3

Heat 1160.77 s1:5

Heat 1261.05 s2:4

Heat 1360.53 s4:2

Heat 1461.07 s3:3

Heat 1560.57 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 22 → 18 °C; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind: 13 km/h E; gusts up to 24 km/h; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 36 %; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	ZIE	LES	ZIE	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	-4	37 %
3	0	64 %
4	-4	38 %
5	0	64 %
6	+2	74 %
7	0	60 %
8	0	57 %
9	-2	44 %
10	-2	36 %
11	-6	12 %
12	-8	7 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-6	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Mateusz Tonder	4	2.0	6	+4.0
Patryk Dudek	6	8.9	11	+2.1
Szymon Szlauderbach	3	1.9	4	+2.1
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	5.2	7	+1.8
Jaimon Lidsey	5	7.3	9	+1.7
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	10.8	11	+0.2
Janusz Kołodziej	5	7.8	8	+0.2
Antonio Lindbäck	3	3.0	3	+0.0
Norbert Krakowiak	3	3.5	3	-0.5
Piotr Pawlicki	5	8.9	8	-0.9
Piotr Protasiewicz	4	5.9	4	-1.9
Martin Vaculik	6	12.4	10	-2.4
Dominik Kubera	3	5.5	3	-2.5
Bartosz Smektała	4	6.7	3	-3.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.6760.07 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 28.7:37.3 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +0.57 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source