ZIE vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 6, 2020 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra

Results

ZIE 52 : 38 LES

ZIE

9Antonio Lindbäck1 1 02+2
10Martin Vaculik3 2 3 2 212
11Piotr Protasiewicz2 U 2 3 07+1
12Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 3 3 111+1
13Patryk Dudek3 3 1 1 210+1
14Mateusz Tonder3 1 3 07
15Norbert Krakowiak2 1 03+1

LES

1Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 1 1 310+2
2Janusz Kołodziej0 0 2 24
3Bartosz Smektała0 1 01
4Jaimon Lidsey0 2 2 2 06
5Piotr Pawlicki2 0 W 3 38
6Dominik Kubera1 2 3 1 0 18
7Szymon Szlauderbach0 11+1

Heat by heat

Heat 160.10 s3:3

Heat 259.85 s5:1

Heat 359.54 s4:2

Heat 459.22 s4:2

Heat 559.82 s3:3

Heat 659.47 s4:2

Heat 759.87 s3:3

Heat 860.34 s4:2

Heat 959.72 s3:3

Heat 1059.85 s5:1

Heat 1161.00 s3:3

Heat 1260.28 s3:3

Heat 1360.06 s3:3

Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
Dominik Kubera · LES0

Heat 1460.12 s2:4

Heat 1559.50 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 17 → 11 °C; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Wind: 6 km/h SW; gusts up to 15 km/h; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 80 %; Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	16	8	+8	−8
5–7	10	8	+2	−2
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	ZIE	LES	ZIE	LES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead ZIE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+6	90 %
4	+8	93 %
5	+8	94 %
6	+10	97 %
7	+10	97 %
8	+12	98 %
9	+12	99 %
10	+16	100 %
11	+16	100 %
12	+16	100 %
13	+16	100 %
14	+14	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Mateusz Tonder	4	1.7	7	+5.3
Michael Jepsen Jensen	5	5.9	11	+5.1
Martin Vaculik	5	9.5	12	+2.5
Patryk Dudek	5	9.1	10	+0.9
Piotr Protasiewicz	5	7.2	7	-0.2
Norbert Krakowiak	3	3.4	3	-0.4
Antonio Lindbäck	3	2.6	2	-0.6
Szymon Szlauderbach	2	1.7	1	-0.7
Piotr Pawlicki	5	8.8	8	-0.8
Jaimon Lidsey	5	7.1	6	-1.1
Dominik Kubera	6	9.4	8	-1.4
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	11.6	10	-1.6
Janusz Kołodziej	4	6.6	4	-2.6
Bartosz Smektała	3	5.5	1	-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.0059.22 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 30.7:34.0 outside C + D

Trend ◀ +0.17

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source