LES vs RYB
PGE Ekstraliga · Monday, August 31, 2020 · Stadion im. Alfreda Smoczyka, Leszno
Results
- 9Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 311+1
- 10Janusz Kołodziej3 3 2 3 213+2
- 11Bartosz Smektała1 2 2 16
- 12Jaimon Lidsey3 1 1 2 310+3
- 13Piotr Pawlicki2 3 3 2 111+2
- 14Szymon Szlauderbach2 1 14+1
- 15Dominik Kubera3 1 3 310
- 1Kacper Woryna2 0 1 0 03
- 2Mateusz Szczepaniak1 2 0 03
- 3Sergei Logachev0 2 1 14
- 4Andzejs Lebedevs2 0 13
- 5Vaclav Milik0 1 01
- 6Kamil Nowacki1 0 01
- 7Mateusz Tudzież0 0 00
- 8Robert Lambert3 W 3 2 210
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Kacper Woryna · RYB2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Sergei Logachev · RYB0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES2*
- Kamil Nowacki · RYB1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB1
- Vaclav Milik · RYB0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1
- Kamil Nowacki · RYB0
- Robert Lambert · RYB3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2*
- Vaclav Milik · RYB1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Sergei Logachev · RYB2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Kacper Woryna · RYB1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB0
- Robert Lambert · RYB3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1*
- Kamil Nowacki · RYB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Andzejs Lebedevs · RYB1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Robert Lambert · RYB2
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Mateusz Tudzież · RYB0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2*
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Vaclav Milik · RYB0
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES3
- Robert Lambert · RYB2
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES1
- Kacper Woryna · RYB0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2*
- Sergei Logachev · RYB1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h NW
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 17.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| LES | RYB | LES | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LES
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +24 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +28 | 100 % |
| 12 | +30 | 100 % |
| 13 | +34 | 100 % |
| 14 | +36 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 6.2 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Dominik Kubera | 4 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 9.6 | 11 | +1.4 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Kamil Nowacki | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Sergei Logachev | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Mateusz Tudzież | 3 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 4 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Andzejs Lebedevs | 3 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Kacper Woryna | 5 | 6.7 | 3 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.