LUB vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, August 14, 2020 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Jakub Jamróg0 0 11
- 10Grigorij Laguta1 2 3 3 110+1
- 11Matej Zagar3 3 3 3 3 318
- 12Jarosław Hampel0 1 2 3 39+1
- 13Mikkel Michelsen2 3 2 2 110+1
- 14Wiktor Lampart1 0 01
- 15Viktor Trofymov0 1 01
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow1 2 1 2 0 28+2
- 2Janusz Kołodziej1 0 2 14+1
- 3Bartosz Smektała2 2 3 1 2 010
- 4Jaimon Lidsey2 0 1 03+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki3 0 T 03
- 6Dominik Kubera2 3 16+1
- 7Szymon Szlauderbach3 1 0 26
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES3
- Dominik Kubera · LES2*
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB1
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES2*
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB1
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Bartosz Smektała · LES3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES1
- Wiktor Lampart · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1*
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB2*
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Jakub Jamróg · LUB1
- Jaimon Lidsey · LES0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Viktor Trofymov · LUB0
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB2*
- Bartosz Smektała · LES1
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LUB3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Grigorij Laguta · LUB1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES0
- Matej Zagar · LUB3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Mikkel Michelsen · LUB1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 17 °C
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Wind
- 5 km/h SE
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 17 | −10 | +10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LUB | LES | LUB | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -10 | 8 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej Zagar | 6 | 11.1 | 18 | +6.9 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 1.7 | 6 | +4.3 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 6 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Dominik Kubera | 3 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 4 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 3 | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Viktor Trofymov | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Wiktor Lampart | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 14.5 | 8 | -6.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.