GOR vs LES

PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 14, 2020 · Stadion GBS Gorzów im. Edwarda Jancarza, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Results

GOR 41 : 49 LES
GOR
LES

Heat by heat

Heat 161.01 s2:4
Heat 261.41 s2:4
Heat 361.67 s2:4
Heat 461.35 s2:4
Heat 561.72 s4:2
Heat 661.82 s3:3
Heat 761.90 s4:2
Heat 861.92 s3:3
Heat 961.98 s2:4
Heat 1062.05 s1:5
Heat 1162.17 s4:2
Heat 1262.23 s3:3
Heat 1362.41 s3:3
Heat 1462.48 s5:1
Heat 1562.34 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
24 → 19 °C
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Wind
9 km/h E
gusts up to 22 km/h
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.5 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
45 %
Measured · Gorzow Wlkp, 5 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4816−8+8
5–7117+4−4
8–10612−6+6
11–13108+2−2
14–156600
GORLESGORLES

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GOR
-10-8-6-4-2115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-253 %
2-437 %
3-632 %
4-815 %
5-622 %
6-624 %
7-432 %
8-435 %
9-620 %
10-107 %
11-88 %
12-87 %
13-82 %
14-48 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Piotr Pawlicki57.914+6.1
Szymon Szlauderbach31.43+1.6
Szymon Woźniak56.48+1.6
Anders Thomsen68.910+1.1
Krzysztof Kasprzak58.29+0.8
Emil Sajfutdinow511.612+0.4
Rafał Karczmarz63.94+0.1
Brady Kurtz44.95+0.1
Dominik Kubera57.27-0.2
Mateusz Bartkowiak21.70-1.7
Janusz Kołodziej58.06-2.0
Bartosz Smektała35.32-3.3
Bartosz Zmarzlik614.710-4.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 62.4861.01 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 35.3:30.0 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +1.47 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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