ZIE vs LES
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 23, 2019 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Nicki Pedersen2 2 2 3 211
- 10Michael Jepsen Jensen1 1 1 25+3
- 11Piotr Protasiewicz2 1 1 2 06
- 12Patryk Dudek1 3 3 0 07+1
- 13Martin Vaculik3 0 2 1 28+1
- 14Damian Pawliczak0 2 02
- 15Norbert Krakowiak3 1 04
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 1 312
- 2Brady Kurtz0 00
- 3Jarosław Hampel0 3 0 3 17
- 4Janusz Kołodziej3 1 3 1 19+1
- 5Piotr Pawlicki2 0 2 2 39
- 6Dominik Kubera1 3 1 0 38+1
- 7Bartosz Smektała2 W 02
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE3
- Bartosz Smektała · LES2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1*
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Brady Kurtz · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Dominik Kubera · LES1
- Norbert Krakowiak · ZIE0
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE1*
- Jarosław Hampel · LES0
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE1
- Bartosz Smektała · LES0
- Jarosław Hampel · LES3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · ZIE2
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE1*
- Dominik Kubera · LES0
- Dominik Kubera · LES3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES1
- Damian Pawliczak · ZIE0
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE3
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1*
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
- Piotr Pawlicki · LES3
- Martin Vaculik · ZIE2
- Jarosław Hampel · LES1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · ZIE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · LES3
- Nicki Pedersen · ZIE2
- Janusz Kołodziej · LES1
- Patryk Dudek · ZIE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 23 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 33 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| ZIE | LES | ZIE | LES | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 1.3 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 8.9 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.1 | 12 | +1.9 |
| Jarosław Hampel | 5 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Janusz Kołodziej | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Damian Pawliczak | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Dominik Kubera | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 2 | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Bartosz Smektała | 3 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.